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公共安全理论关注的焦点经历了由传统安全向非传统安全的嬗变,当前我国频繁发生的各类群体性事件,尤其是重大群体性事件已成为非传统公共安全管理难以回避的现实课题。基于公共安全“风险—危机”的视角,分析相关群案例可以发现,重大群体性事件的一般演化过程包括潜伏阶段、酝酿阶段、激化阶段、全面爆发阶段和恢复阶段,并呈现直线链式、阶段反复式、并行式、循环式等多种演化路径,其中存在的各种动力和抑制因素成为我们构建重大群体性事件源头和过程阻断机制的关键环节。
The focus of public security theory has undergone the evolution from traditional security to non-traditional security. At present, various mass incidents, especially major mass incidents, that have taken place frequently in our country have become an unavoidable practical issue for non-traditional public safety management. From the perspective of public safety “risk crisis ”, we can find that the general evolutionary process of major group events includes latent phase, gestation phase, intensification phase, full burst phase and recovery phase, , Stages of repetitive, parallel, cyclic and other evolutionary paths. The various impetus and restraints in these phases have become the key links in our efforts to create the source of major mass incidents and the process blocking mechanism.