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针对各界对新成品油定价机制不透明、调价滞后、油价涨多跌少等合理性问题质疑声不断,对新机制的透明度、规则设置合理性和国内外油价波动契合度三项表观合理性指标进行分析。分析结果表明,新成品油定价机制的调价触发机制透明度较高,不透明主要体现在调价幅度的计算上,这很可能是下一步改革的重点。新机制仍然存在滞后性,滞后于国际油价的时间在20～40天,这种滞后与石油从采购到加工生产再到销售各环节所耗费的总时长相比并不严重,总体影响不大。就滞后性问题而言,新机制存在改革的必要性和完善的空间。新机制采取间接接轨的方式与布伦特、迪拜、辛塔三地原油接轨,三种原油权重相等,这种接轨方式、原油油种选择及权重分配比例是比较合理的。国内外油价涨跌幅度契合度不高,从2009～2011年的平均水平看,国内油价的调整幅度明显小于国际油价的调整幅度,没有充分反映出国际油价的波动。国内油价涨幅占国际油价涨幅的51%,而跌幅却占到66%。与国际油价相比,国内成品油价格并不存在“涨多跌少”或“跟涨不跟跌”的现象,在一定程度上还存在“涨少跌多”的情况。
Against all walks of life on the new pricing mechanism of refined oil products opaque, lagging price adjustment, the oil price rose more or less less reasonable questions such as the sound of constant questions, the transparency of the new mechanism, the rules set the rationality of domestic and international oil price fluctuations fit three indicators of reasonableness Analyze. The analysis shows that the price trigger mechanism of the new refined oil pricing mechanism is more transparent. Opaqueness is mainly reflected in the calculation of the price adjustment range, which is likely to be the focus of the next reform. The new mechanism still lags behind the international oil price lag time of 20 to 40 days, this lag and oil from procurement to processing and production to sales of each link of the total time spent is not serious, the overall impact is not significant. With regard to the issue of lag, the new mechanism has the necessary reform and perfect space. The new mechanism adopts the method of indirect connection with the crude oil of Brent, Dubai and Xinda. The weights of the three crude oils are equal. This method of convergence, the choice of crude oil and the proportion of weight distribution are more reasonable. From the average level of 2009-2011, the adjustment range of domestic oil prices is obviously less than the adjustment range of international oil prices, which does not fully reflect the fluctuation of international oil prices. Domestic oil prices rose 51% of international oil prices, while the decline accounted for 66%. Compared with the international oil prices, the domestic refined oil prices do not exist “up more or less ” or “with the rise does not fall with ” phenomenon, to a certain extent there are still .