2013年我国电力行业运行特征分析与展望

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2013年我国经济平稳增长,电力行业也保持了中速平稳增长态势。本文利用景气分析方法建立了电力行业景气指数,分析了我国电力行业的增长周期波动特征,得出结论:我国电力供给充足,电力供需总体平衡,全社会用电量和发电量稳步增长;燃料价格走低使得发电成本回落,电力行业利润大幅增加;新能源发电快速增长,电源结构得以优化。预计我国电力行业景气将继续保持回升态势。 In 2013, the economy of our country grew steadily and the power industry also maintained its steady growth at a moderate speed. In this paper, the prosperity index of power industry is established by using the method of boom analysis, and the fluctuation characteristics of growth cycle in China’s power industry are analyzed. The conclusion is drawn that: sufficient electricity supply, balanced power supply and demand, steady increase of electricity consumption and power generation in the whole society; Lowering the cost of power generation down, the profits of the power industry increased sharply; the growth of new energy power generation and power supply structure were optimized. It is expected that the prosperity of China’s power industry will continue its upward trend.
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