在统计分析１８６８～１９９８年资料的基础上，研究了南海季风爆发时间与梅雨活动的相互关系。分析表明：南海季风爆发的迟早与梅雨的开始及结束有较好的反相关关系，对梅雨的人、出时间预报有一定的指示意义。 Based on the statistical analysis of the data from 1868 to 1998, the correlation between the onset time of the South China Sea monsoon and the activities of the Meiyu was studied. The analysis shows that there is a good inverse relationship between the onset of the monsoon onset and the end of the monsoon in the South China Sea, and a certain indication to the forecast of people in the Meiyu.