论文部分内容阅读
运用动态面板模型和门限面板模型研究中国省域1985-2008年的城乡收入差距的收敛情况及其非线性。通过结合Barro和Sala-i-Martin(1992)、Evans和Karras(1996)两个经典收敛模型,利用泰尔指数衡量国内总体及各省的城乡收入差距,动态面板模型的GMM估计结果表明,虽然国内城乡收入差距大部分时间都在扩大,但其具有缩小趋势下的收敛性,并最终会缩小27%。门限面板模型研究发现,城乡收入差距的收敛具有非线性,低城乡收入差距会在扩大的趋势下收敛,而高城乡收入差距会在缩小趋势下收敛。
The dynamic panel model and threshold panel model are used to study the convergence and nonlinearity of urban-rural income disparity in China’s provinces from 1985 to 2008. By combining the two classical convergence models of Barro and Sala-i-Martin (1992), Evans and Karras (1996), we use the Theil index to measure the urban-rural income disparity in China and other provinces. The GMM estimation of the dynamic panel model shows that, The urban-rural income gap has been widening most of the time, but it has been converging in a shrinking trend and will eventually narrow by 27%. Threshold panel model study found that the convergence of urban-rural income gap has a nonlinear, low income gap between urban and rural areas will converge under the trend of expansion, while the urban-rural income gap will converge under the trend of declining.