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使用1979—2008年我国30个省级单位的面板数据进行空间计量分析,研究居民消费与经济增长收敛的关系,研究表明:(1)我国居民消费存在显著的空间依赖性;(2)在控制了空间依赖性、居民消费水平及增速等差异后,中国省市经济增长表现出收敛现象,收敛速度为6.97%;(3)消费水平及消费增长率对经济增长收敛产生显著促进作用,是地区经济发展差异的来源,并因此拉动中西部地区居民消费的快速增长和赶超,是促进中西部经济发展、缩小东西部经济差异的重要途径。
Using the panel data of 30 provincial units in China from 1979 to 2008, this paper makes a spatial econometric analysis to study the relationship between household consumption and economic growth convergence. The results show that: (1) there is a significant spatial dependence of household consumption in China; (2) After the differences in spatial dependence, household consumption level and growth rate, the economic growth in China’s provinces and municipalities showed convergence, with a convergence rate of 6.97%. (3) Consumption levels and consumption growth rates significantly contributed to the convergence of economic growth. Regional sources of economic development differences, and thus stimulate the rapid growth and catch-up of household consumption in the central and western regions, is an important way to promote economic development in central and western regions and narrow the economic differences between eastern and western regions.