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改革开放以来我国对外贸易发展迅速。为缓解人民币升值巨大压力以及出于国内经济健康发展考虑,我国开始实行以市场供求为基础、参考一篮子货币调节的、有管理的浮动汇率制,并承诺人民币兑美元升值2%。人民币长期升值趋势初步确立。面对人民币的升值,不同的人有着不同的观点,有的人认为,人民币升值有利于我国进口贸易发展,特别是有利于我国出国务工人员。但也有一些人认为人民币的升值不利于我国出口贸易的发展,对我国经济长远的发展造成不利的影响,特别是削弱了我国企业在国际市场上的综合竞争力。本文从利弊两方面进行了分析,提出了人民币升值对我国经济以及涉及到影响人们生活的各个方面的影响,最后给出了作者的观点:人民币升值有风险,人民币不升值同样有风险,既然都有害,两害相权取其轻。
Since the reform and opening up, China’s foreign trade has developed rapidly. In order to alleviate the tremendous pressure of RMB revaluation and due to the healthy development of the domestic economy, China began to implement a managed basket exchange-rate system based on market supply and demand and promised a 2% appreciation of the renminbi against the U.S. dollar. RMB long-term appreciation of the initial establishment of the trend. Faced with the appreciation of the renminbi, different people have different views. Some people think that an appreciation of the renminbi is conducive to the development of China’s import trade, and in particular to our country’s migrant workers. However, some people think that the appreciation of the Renminbi is not conducive to the development of China’s export trade and adversely affect the long-term economic development of our country. In particular, we have weakened the overall competitiveness of Chinese enterprises in the international market. This article analyzes the pros and cons of two aspects, puts forward the impact of RMB appreciation on our economy and all aspects affecting people’s life, and finally gives the author’s point of view: the renminbi appreciation is risky, the renminbi does not appreciate the same risk, since both Harmful, the two take the lesser right phase.