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猪价反季节加速下跌,为12年来首次出现猪价运行以3~4年为一个完整周期,2011年9月猪价见顶,随后开始进入下跌通道,并于2013年4月以毛猪11.6元/千克的价格见底,此后进入本轮上涨周期,但9月以后进入15.5~16.0元/千克的震荡区间。2013年12月非但没有出现季节性上涨,反而从下旬开始猪价再次快速下跌。这种情况在过去的13年首次出现。据我们统计,1995年以来,仅1995、1997、1998、1999、2001年出现12月猪价环比下跌,只是因为2001年以前一般年
Pig prices accelerated off-season accelerated, for the first time in 12 years the price of pork to run for 3 to 4 years as a complete cycle, in September 2011 peaked pork prices, and then began to fall channel, and in April 2013 to 11.6 yuan / Kg price bottomed out since then into the current round of rising cycle, but after September into 15.5 ~ 16.0 yuan / kg shock interval. December 2013 not only did not appear seasonal rise, but from the beginning of late pig prices fell rapidly again. This situation first appeared in the past 13 years. According to our statistics, the price of pork dropped in December only in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 and 2001 since 1995, only because of the normal years before 2001