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本文追溯了本次全球金融危机中的美国1970年以来经济政策失误根源,为1980年以来美国政治和经济体系的显著特征进行了定量化的总结,表明全球经济失衡是美国国内失衡的结果,强调美中两国均需进行经济结构调整,并且具体讨论了美国进行这些调整的政治经济学。最后,本文考察了任何一国经济结构调整失败的后果。本文认为,因为美国进行经济结构调整的能力存在疑问,而中国进行调整也有不确定性,所以抑制冲突以及创造一个持续的、积极的全球交易体系的前景并不乐观。
This paper traces the root causes of the economic policy mistakes in the United States since 1970 during the global financial crisis and provides a quantitative summary of the salient features of the political and economic systems in the United States since 1980. It shows that global economic imbalances are the result of the imbalance within the United States and emphasize Both the United States and China need to make economic structural adjustments and specifically discuss the political economy in the United States for these adjustments. Finally, this article examines the consequences of the failure of any country to adjust its economic structure. This paper argues that the prospects for curbing conflicts and for creating a sustained and proactive global trading system are not optimistic because of doubts about the ability of the United States to adjust its economic structure and uncertainties about China’s readjustment.