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“十二五”期间,我国经济的增长与发展,关键在于产业结构的调整与优化。本文以31个省市的面板数据为研究样本,实证检验了东、中、西部地区第三产业及其内部结构变化对经济增长的影响。实证结果表明,就当前我国经济状况而言,第三产业占GDP比重的提高对区域经济增长会产生显著的负向影响;在第三产业内部,金融业的比重则同经济增长负相关,在东部及中部地区尤为明显。
During the 12th Five-Year Plan, the key to the growth and development of China’s economy lies in the adjustment and optimization of the industrial structure. Based on the panel data of 31 provinces and cities, this paper empirically tests the influence of the tertiary industry and its internal structure changes on economic growth in eastern, central and western regions. The empirical results show that in terms of the current economic situation in our country, the increase in the proportion of tertiary industry to GDP will have a significant negative impact on regional economic growth. Within the tertiary industry, the proportion of the financial sector is negatively correlated with economic growth. The eastern and central regions are particularly noticeable.