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据初步测算,到2000年末时,上海市区电话机总数约可达到160万部左右,与号线之比约为1:1.4,(现为1:2.0),普及率约为20%。预计约需资金45.67亿元。资金来源预测,在本世纪以内,市话利润留成、各项折旧费留成与初装费等方面收入可用于扩大再生产部分约为31.22亿元,约为总投资的68.35%,尚短缺资金14.45亿元,如果加上贷款利息,总计短缺资金在19.5亿(按年息3%算)或24亿(按年息6%算)之间。加快市话建设势在必行,而资金问题首当其冲。出路在哪里?在于解放思想,打破常规。一方面用足用活现有政策,并要求政府进一步给以特殊政策,积累资金;另一方面必须搞活经营,采取一切可能的途径和方式,广开集资渠道,不断争取更多的资金来源,要敢于并善于“负债办企业”,“借鸡生蛋”,在实践中走出一条市话通信发展的新路子。
According to preliminary estimates, by the end of 2000, the total number of telephones in Shanghai will reach about 1.6 million, with a ratio of about 1.4: 1 (now 1: 2.0) and a penetration rate of about 20%. It is estimated that about 4.567 billion yuan will be needed. Source of funds projections, within this century, the local market profit retention, the remaining charge of the depreciation and installation costs and other aspects of income can be used to expand the reproduction of about 3.222 billion yuan, accounting for about 68.35% of the total investment, there is still a shortage of 1.445 billion yuan of funds With a total of $ 1.95 billion in shortfalls (at 3% per annum) or 2.4 billion (6% per annum) if loan interest is added. Speed up the construction of local calls is imperative, and funding problems bear the brunt. Where is the way out? Is to emancipate the mind, to break the routine. On the one hand, they should make full use of existing policies and require the government to give further special policies to accumulate funds. On the other hand, they must engage in business operations and take all possible channels and ways to widen the channels of fund-raising and strive for more sources of funds. Dare and good at “debt to do business”, “borrow chicken”, in practice, out of a new development of local telephone communication.