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笔者认为,中国房地产业正处在“泡沫化” 的自我强化过程中,在相当程度上像美国1998- 1999年前后高科技繁荣时的情景。而房地产泡 沫危害远大于高科技泡沫。在2000年高科技泡 沫达到顶峰时,国内外不少经济界人士认为,“高 科技革命”使传统经济学理论失效,经济规律在 发生实质变化,经济将进入持续而没有波动的繁 荣。后来泡沫的破灭打破了这种繁荣。今天房 地产的“非理性繁荣”也是如此。对中国一些大 城市房价将继续大幅增长的预测以及“大踏步地
The author believes that China’s real estate industry is in the process of self-reinforcing ”bubble“, to a certain extent, like the high-tech boom in the United States around 1998-1999. The real estate bubble is far more dangerous than high-tech bubble. At the peak of the high-tech bubble in 2000, many economic circles at home and abroad believed that the ”high-tech revolution“ has invalidated the traditional economic theory, the economic law has undergone substantive changes and the economy will enter into a sustained and undulating boom. Later, the burst of bubbles broke the prosperity. Today’s real estate ”irrational prosperity “ as well. Predict property prices in some big cities in China will continue to grow substantially and ”a great strides."