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近年来,迅速发展的服务贸易为国际经济注入新的活力,金融业在现代经济的核心地位,决定了金融服务贸易在服务贸易中的特殊地位。本文选取1997年至2014年的时间序列作为研究样本,构建了我国金融服务贸易与经济增长之间的向量自回归模型,并进行了协整检验。结果表明,金融服务贸易对经济增长有正向的影响,然而经济增长对我国服务贸易的影响并不显著。
In recent years, the rapid development of trade in services has injected new vitality into the international economy. The core position of the financial industry in the modern economy has determined the special status of financial services trade in service trade. This paper selects the time series from 1997 to 2014 as the research sample, constructs the vector autoregressive model between China’s financial services trade and economic growth, and carries out the co-integration test. The results show that the financial services trade has a positive impact on economic growth, but the impact of economic growth on China’s service trade is not significant.