GartnerResearch在2003年1月提出了在今后十年里信息产业核心技术的发展走向。如图所示,和早期的大型机相比,PC的出现是个里程碑;但个人计算的影响远不及PC之间的互连和Web的影响力。到2010年,IT的重点仍将落在物理连接上(如:网络),但从2007年到2010年“有线”将逐步将主控权交 GartnerResearch in January 2003 put forward the development of the core technology of the information industry in the next decade. As shown, the advent of a PC is a milestone compared to earlier mainframes; however, the impact of personal computing is far less than the interconnection between PCs and the Web’s influence. By 2010, the focus of IT will still fall on the physical connection (eg, the Internet), but from 2007 to 2010, “wired” will gradually shift its ownership control