拉卡托斯的科学研究纲领理论是一种研究和评价科学理论进步发展与否的重要方法。针对拉卡托斯早年对马克思主义研究纲领不能预见经验事实的质疑,本文从当前世界经济危机蔓延及社会主义兴衰发展的历史状况出发,尝试应用硬核-保护带理论,研究分析马克思主义作为一个科学的研究纲领的基本构成,论证其理论预见性和实践检验性,并回应某些西方学者叫嚣的马克思主义“失败论”和“过时论”。 Lakatos’ theory of scientific research program is an important method to study and evaluate the progress of scientific theory. In view of the fact that Lakatos questioned the factual fact that Marxism research program can not foresee in the early years, from the current situation of world economic crisis and the historical development of socialism, this paper attempts to apply the theory of hard nucleus-guard band and study and analyze Marxism as a science The basic constitution of the research program, demonstrate its theoretical predictability and practical testability, and respond to some Western scholars clamoring “Failure Theory ” and “Outdated Theory ”.