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从总体层面、贸易国别层面、区域层面、产业层面及产品类别层面对2001年以来我国进出口贸易增速变化进行分析发现,我国外贸增速虽然在总量上持续低迷,但在其他四个层面却表现出有升有降的不同特征。综合看,我国外贸增速下降并非单纯受周期性因素影响,也与结构性因素变化有关,并且结构性变化趋势表明我国外贸发展呈转型升级的良好发展态势。伴随国内外环境的深刻变化,我国外贸发展进入新阶段,外贸发展的总体思路应摒弃以往“唯增速论”的发展理念,转向“以质取胜”的发展模式。立足现实比较优势,构筑新型比较优势,不仅是实现我国外贸发展提质增效的需要,也是应对外贸增速下滑从而稳定外贸增长的有效举措。
An analysis of the growth rate of China’s import and export trade since 2001 shows that although the total foreign trade growth rate of our country keeps downturn, the other four However, it shows different characteristics of rising and falling. In summary, the decline of China’s foreign trade growth rate is not simply affected by cyclical factors but also with changes in structural factors. The structural change trend shows that China’s foreign trade development has shown a good momentum of transformation and upgrading. With the profound changes in the environment both at home and abroad, China’s foreign trade development has entered a new phase. The general idea of foreign trade development should abandon the development philosophy of “only growth rate” and shift to the “quality win” development model. Building a comparative advantage based on realistic comparative advantages and building a new comparative advantage not only serves the needs of promoting the development of foreign trade in our country but also serves as an effective measure to cope with the downturn in the growth of foreign trade and thereby stabilize the growth of foreign trade.