论文部分内容阅读
21世纪可再生能源政策网络(REN21)是一个由政府机构、国际组织、行业协会等组成的全球性组织。该组织采访了全球170余位专家,汇总了50项研究成果,在此基础上形成了《全球可再生能源未来报告》,其主要观点和结论如下。一/对未来可再生能源占比的研判对2050年前世界可再生能源在能源消费总量中所占比例的预测大致可以分为三类。第一类是以石油公司为代表的保守预测(低于15%)。英国石油公司、埃克森美孚公司认为2030~2040年在15%以下。第二类是以国际能源署(IEA)为代表的温和预测
The 21st Century Renewable Energy Policy Network (REN21) is a global organization of government agencies, international organizations, industry associations and more. The organization interviewed more than 170 experts from around the world and compiled 50 research results. Based on this, the organization formed the Global Report on Renewable Energy Future. The main ideas and conclusions are as follows. A / Judging on the proportion of renewable energy in the future Prediction of the proportion of world renewable energy in total energy consumption by 2050 can be roughly divided into three categories. The first category is conservative forecasts represented by oil companies (less than 15%). BP, ExxonMobil think 2030 ~ 2040 in less than 15%. The second category is the modest forecast represented by the International Energy Agency (IEA)