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为发展中国家,从增长潜力来看,我国还有20年的时间维持8%的增长。十八大提出到2020年,国民经济的生产总值翻一番,城乡居民人均收入翻一番的目标应该可以达到。我估计2020年或者是2021年、2022年可以达到12700美元,这是一个门槛。按照世界银行国际货币基金组织的指标,一个国家如果人均收入达到12700美元,那就是高收入国家。如果我们达到这样的收入水平的话,可以说是中华民族伟大复兴中国梦的实现。我们经济中也有一些可能导致陷入中等收入陷阱的因素,比如说收入分配不均,以及腐败,这与双轨制改革是相关的。首先,给大型国有企业一
For developing countries, from the perspective of growth potential, our country still has 20 years to maintain an increase of 8%. The 18th CPC National Congress proposed that by 2020, the national economy should double its gross domestic product (GDP) and the goal of doubling per capita income of urban and rural residents should be met. I estimate 2020 or 2021, 2022 can reach 12,700 US dollars, this is a threshold. According to the World Bank’s IMF guidelines, a country with a per capita income of $ 12,700 is a high-income country. If we achieve such a level of income, we can say that it is the realization of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese dream of the Chinese nation. There are also some factors in our economy that could lead to a middle-income trap, such as uneven income distribution and corruption, which is related to the two-track reform. First, give a large state-owned enterprise one