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2011年以来,世界经济复苏受阻,加之国内紧缩效应显现,我国橡胶整体需求继续减少,资源供应力度减小。但由于货币贬值抑制了价格跌落幅度,橡胶价格明显高出上年水平。9月份,天然橡胶、顺丁橡胶、丁苯橡胶现货均价同比分别上涨了22.2%,67.6%和48.2%。展望后势,欧美国家“双债危机”阴霾不散,世界经济可能出现新的严重衰退。大宗商品包括橡胶价格会再次下跌,整个橡胶产业链将受到影响。
Since 2011, the global economic recovery has been hindered. In addition to the domestic tightening effect, the overall demand for rubber in our country has continued to decrease, and the supply of resources has been reduced. However, due to the depreciation of the currency, the rubber price was obviously higher than that of the previous year due to the suppression of price drop. In September, the average spot price of natural rubber, butadiene rubber and styrene-butadiene rubber rose 22.2%, 67.6% and 48.2% respectively. Looking behind the trend, Europe and the United States “double debt crisis, ” the haze is not scattered, the world economy may be a new serious recession. Commodities, including rubber prices will fall again, the entire rubber industry chain will be affected.