短期内,经济的周期性波动会给身处其中的人们带来很多不确定性的因素,繁荣时的狂热和衰退时的痛苦一样让人焦灼。然而,如果把时间放得长一点,会发现经济以另一种形式轮回:几个短周期共同构成一个经济长波,以一个大 In the short term, the cyclical fluctuations in the economy can cause a lot of uncertainty for the people in it, as well as the enthusiasm for prosperity and the pain of recession. However, if we take a longer time, we can find that the economy reincarnates in another form: several short cycles together form an economic longwave, with a large