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随着经济全球化的不断深入发展,国际贸易和国际直接投资呈现出日益趋同的发展趋势。文章利用最新时间序列数据,通过回归分析和Granger因果检验方法对山西对外贸易与外商直接投资之间的相互关系进行了全面的实证分析。分析结果显示,山西对外贸易与外商直接投资之间基本上并不存在因果关系,但从长期来看,外商直接投资会对对外贸易产生积极的促进作用。结论对山西进一步坚持和完善积极吸引外商直接投资的开放型政策具有重要理论指导意义。
With the continuous deepening of economic globalization, international trade and international direct investment are showing increasingly similar development trends. Using the latest time series data, the article conducted a comprehensive empirical analysis of the interrelationship between Shanxi’s foreign trade and foreign direct investment through regression analysis and Granger causality test. The analysis shows that there is basically no causal relationship between Shanxi’s foreign trade and foreign direct investment, but in the long run, foreign direct investment will have a positive effect on foreign trade. Conclusion It is of great theoretical significance to further adhere to and improve the open policy of actively attracting foreign direct investment in Shanxi.