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本文在宏观“反事实”框架下,利用Hsiao面板数据方法对山西省2009—2011年煤炭资源整合的经济增长效应进行实证分析,结论表明虽然煤炭资源整合使得山西省人均GDP增长率在2009—2011年分别降低9.2%、3.8%和3.6%,但这并不能否定煤炭资源整合的正面效应,比如带来的产量增加、技术进步、能源利用率提高等,经济增速的暂时放缓可以带来未来更持久的科学发展。
Under the framework of macroeconomic “counterfactual ”, this paper empirically analyzes the economic growth effect of coal resource integration in Shanxi Province from 2009 to 2011 using Hsiao panel data. The conclusion shows that although the integration of coal resources makes the growth rate of per capita GDP of Shanxi Province in 2009 - a decrease of 9.2%, 3.8% and 3.6% respectively in 2011 but this can not negate the positive effects of coal resource integration such as increased output, technological progress and improved energy efficiency, and a temporary slowdown in economic growth can Bring about more lasting scientific development in the future.