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中国目前产能严重过剩,产能过剩可能迫使中国放缓固定资产投资,另外,出口增长也将减缓。那么2006年还有什么因素维持中国的高增长率?作为最佳选择的资产投资被过分关注,加大资产投资的信号是降低贷款利率,这样市场又将开始乐观。如此,基础设施建设成为备选对象,但加大这方面的投资不会扭转经济放缓的趋势。进而消费是市场普遍认可的途径,但提升消费是困难的。
China currently has a serious excess capacity. Overcapacity may force China to slow its investment in fixed assets. In addition, export growth will also slow down. So what other factors in 2006 to maintain China’s high growth rate? As the best choice for asset investment is too concerned about the increase in asset investment signal is to reduce lending rates, so the market will begin to optimism. In this way, infrastructure construction becomes an alternative target, but increasing investment in this area will not reverse the trend of economic slowdown. Furthermore, consumption is a generally accepted market approach, but raising consumption is difficult.