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伴随经济全球化,世界农产品的生产、消费、贸易领域日益呈现出诸多新的特点。在加入WTO的新形势下,如何把握这些特点,为我国农业在更大范围和更深层次上参与国际竞争与合作,逐步实现从农业生产大国向贸易大国转变是应该引起我们关注和研究的。本文根据2002年9月,美国世界农业展望委员会最新发布的《世界农产品供需形势展望报告》提供的数据,对世界主要农产品供求形势作一简要分析。一、全球农产品市场供求态势 2002年全球主要农产品生产萎缩,产量普遍下降;农产品消费随人口增长和生活水平提高而稳定增加;一增一减,期末库存呈较大幅度的下降态势。 1、谷物:2002年全球谷物产量18.1亿吨,比2001年减产2.3％;需求达19.0亿吨,比2001年增加0.4％,
With the economic globalization, there are many new characteristics in the world of agricultural products production, consumption and trade. Under the new situation of accession to the WTO, it is of great significance to grasp these characteristics in order to participate in international competition and cooperation on a larger scale and deeper level and to gradually realize the transition from a major agricultural producing country to a major trading nation. According to the latest report of World Agriculture Outlook for Supply and Demand published by the United States World Commission on Agriculture in September 2002, this article analyzes the supply and demand of the world’s major agricultural products briefly. I. The Situation of Global Supply and Demand in Agricultural Products Market In 2002, the global production of major agricultural products shrank and the output generally dropped. The consumption of agricultural products increased steadily as the population and living standards increased steadily. When the stocks increased or decreased, the ending stocks showed a sharp decline. 1. Cereals: The global cereal production in 2002 was 1.81 billion tons, down 2.3% over 2001; the demand was 1.9 billion tons, an increase of 0.4% over 2001,