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世界经济发展总体趋势:全球经济进入新常态,增速低于预期。世界经济保持温和低速“平庸”增长态势,呈现出明显分化的特征,增速明显低于预期。新兴市场风险已经增大;先进经济体低于预期的通胀水平给经济活动带来风险;地缘政治风险已经重新浮现。2014年前三季度,美国GDP环比折年率-2.1%、4.6%和3.9%;日本GDP环比折年率6.0%、-7.1%
The overall trend of global economic development: The global economy has entered a new normal and the growth rate is lower than expected. The world economy has maintained a moderate low-speed and “mediocre” growth trend, showing a distinct differentiation. The growth rate was significantly lower than expected. Emerging market risks have risen; lower-than-expected inflation in advanced economies has put economic activity at risk; and geopolitical risks have resurfaced. In the first three quarters of 2014, U.S. GDP was -2.1%, 4.6% and 3.9% respectively on a year on year basis; Japan’s GDP was 6.0% on a quarterly basis, 7.1%