亚洲开发银行近日发表报告指出,东南亚金融危机将导致1998年亚洲地区经济增长率大幅下降,亚洲发展中国家经济增长速度将从1997年的6.1％下降至4％。尽管这一次金融危机没有直接冲击到我国,但其间接影响正在逐渐显露。深圳以外向型经济为主,又靠近东南亚市场,因此,相对于我国其他地区而言更易受到影响。据深圳市经发局统计,今年1-3月,全市累计完成工业总产值(不变价)284.70亿元,较同期增长18.1％,增幅减少4.8个百分点,特别是外销比例较大的企业已感到形式的严峻。东南亚金融危机对深圳经济发展的影响主要表现在以下几方面。 1.外贸出口滑坡 金融危机使得东南亚国家及日本、韩国等国内经济困难,资金紧张,这些国家的进口会受到一定程度的抑制,进而对我国扩大出口形成负面影响。而深圳对这些国家的出口额占出口总额的11％,这些国家也是深圳正在努力开拓和进一步扩大的市场。其次,经历金融危机的东南亚国家的经济结构、出口商品结构如服装、玩具、初级加工产品、电子产品等及目标市场与我国相近,这些国家的货币以40％或更大幅度的贬值无疑增强了其同类产品在国际市场上的竞争力,使我国出口处于不利地位。第三,来自香港转口贸易的压力。香港是深圳最大的贸易伙伴,1997年深圳对香港的出口占全市出口总额的 The Asian Development Bank recently issued a report stating that the financial crisis in Southeast Asia will lead to a sharp drop in the rate of economic growth in Asia in 1998 and the rate of economic growth in Asian developing countries will drop from 6.1% in 1997 to 4%. Although this time the financial crisis did not directly impact our country, its indirect influence is gradually revealed. Shenzhen is mainly oriented toward an export-oriented economy and is also close to the Southeast Asian market. Therefore, it is more vulnerable than other parts of the country. According to the Shenzhen Economic Development Bureau statistics, from January to March this year, the city’s total industrial output value (constant price) of 28.470 billion yuan, an increase of 18.1% over the same period, an increase of 4.8 percentage points lower, especially large proportion of exporters have felt The form of the harsh. The financial crisis in Southeast Asia on Shenzhen’s economic development mainly in the following areas. 1. Export decline The financial crisis has caused domestic economic difficulties and financial constraints in Southeast Asian countries, Japan, South Korea and other countries. Their imports will be suppressed to a certain extent, which will have a negative impact on the expansion of China’s exports. Shenzhen exports to these countries account for 11% of the total exports. These countries are also markets that Shenzhen is making efforts to explore and further expand. Second, the economic structure of Southeast Asian countries experiencing the financial crisis, the structure of export commodities such as apparel, toys, primary products, electronic products and similar markets are similar to those in our country. The devaluation of currencies of these countries by 40% or more undoubtedly intensified Its competitive products in the international market, so that China’s export is at a disadvantage. Third, the pressure from Hong Kong’s entrepot trade. Hong Kong is Shenzhen’s largest trading partner. In 1997, Shenzhen’s exports to Hong Kong accounted for the entire city’s total exports