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房地产投资对国民经济增长有重要作用,探究二者之间实质关系具有重要意义。本文以河南省房地产投资与经济增长为研究对象,实证分析二者之间的长期动态均衡关系及短期修正关系。结果表明,河南省房地产投资与经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系;房地产投资对经济增长有重要拉动作用;实际经济增长与长期均衡值之间的偏差可以得到较大幅度的修正;房地产投资对经济增长之间拉动作用随着时间推移而逐渐减弱。因而,加强对房地产投资的政策调控,发挥其对经济增长的带动作用成为应有之义。
Real estate investment plays an important role in the growth of the national economy. It is of great significance to explore the substantive relationship between the two. In this paper, real estate investment and economic growth in Henan Province as the research object, empirical analysis of the long-term dynamic balance between the two and short-term correction. The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between real estate investment and economic growth in Henan Province; real estate investment plays an important role in stimulating economic growth; the deviation between actual economic growth and long-term equilibrium value can be largely revised; The pulling effect between growth gradually diminishes over time. Therefore, to strengthen the regulation and control of real estate investment policy, give play to its leading role in economic growth as the proper meaning.