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对世界与我国1990~2006年铅锌产量、消费量和价格进行了详细调查,研究了我国铅锌矿业可持续发展的13个影响因素.采用模糊数学方法对我国铅锌矿业可持续发展进行了评价,并分析和预测了1990~2010年我国铅锌矿业可持续发展度(SDI).研究表明,1999年前我国铅矿业可持续发展度比较差,1999~2006年可持续发展持续向好,但随着我国铅资源保证程度下降,对国外资源依赖程度的增加和铅冶炼能力的过度扩张,我国铅矿业可持续发展度将下降,前景并不乐观;同时,1999年也是我国锌矿业可持续发展的分水岭,1999以前,我国锌矿业可持续发展度低于0.60,1999年后在0.70以上运行,预计2007~2010年我国锌矿业可持续发展度在0.74以上运行.根据可持续发展度,建立了我国铅锌矿业可持续发展预警系统.图2,表1,参8.
The world and China’s lead and zinc production, consumption and price from 1990 to 2006 were investigated in detail, and 13 influential factors on the sustainable development of lead-zinc mining industry in China were studied. The sustainable development of lead-zinc mining industry in China The paper analyzed and predicted the SDI of lead-zinc mining in our country from 1990 to 2010. The research shows that the lead mining industry in our country had a relatively poor degree of sustainable development before 1999. The sustainable development in 1999-2006 continued to improve, However, with the decline in the level of China’s assurance of lead resources, increased dependence on foreign resources and the excessive expansion of lead smelting capacity, the sustainable development of China’s lead mining industry will decline, the outlook is not optimistic; the same time, China’s zinc mine is also sustainable in 1999 Development of the watershed, before 1999, China’s zinc mining sustainable development of less than 0.60, after more than 0.70 in 1999 and is expected to run from 2007 to 2010, sustainable development of zinc mining industry in more than 0.74.According to the degree of sustainable development, the establishment of China’s lead and zinc mining sustainable development early warning system. Figure 2, Table 1, reference 8.