供求判断:国内供求:预计2002/03年度大豆总供给增长3%左右,总消费量增加6%左右,除损耗持平外,其余消费均呈增长态势。预计2002/03年度大豆总供给量略大于总消费量,市场供求基本平衡,但期末库存将有所下降;由于豆粕需求不旺,预计2002/03年度国内豆粕市场供大于求矛盾仍较突出,豆 Judgments on supply and demand: Domestic supply and demand: The total soybean supply in 2002/03 is estimated to have increased by about 3% and the total consumption will increase by about 6%. Except for the depletion, the rest of consumption will show an upward trend. The total supply of soybean in 2002/03 is expected to be slightly larger than the total consumption, with a basically balanced supply and demand in the market. However, ending stocks will decline. Due to the weak demand for soybean meal, the contradiction between oversupply in the domestic soybean meal market in 2002/03 is still prominent. beans