坚持运用政治经济学基本原则分析和判断当前我国经济形势可知,虽然经济发展困难客观存在,但有理由对我国经济充满期待和自信。首先,几十年来我国已经形成的物质基础,为国民经济保持中高速增长提供了坚实保证。其次,创新驱动战略的实施、第四次产业革命的发轫、产业结构的调整给我国经济保持中高速发展提供了巨大动力。再次,以经济体制为重点的全面改革不断深化,为国民经济保持中高速发展提供了坚实的制度保证。最后,科学决策和宏观调控为国民经济保持中高速发展提供了全局性保证。在肯定有利因素、把握基本态势的同时,也应正视我国经济面临的一些新问题、新矛盾。这些矛盾是结构性的而不是总量性的,是相对过剩矛盾而不是绝对过剩矛盾,是社会主义初级阶段落后的生产与人民日益增长的物质文化需要社会主要矛盾在经济发展进入新常态后的新的阶段性表现。解决矛盾,保持国民经济中高速增长,长期上依靠科技创新、结构调整,短期与长期结合上依靠投资和改革开放。在这一过程中,要坚持以人民为中心,着力改善民生。 Insisting on using the basic principles of political economy to analyze and judge the current economic situation in our country shows that although there are objective obstacles to economic development, there are reasons to be full of expectation and confidence in our economy. First of all, the material basis that has been formed in our country in the past few decades has provided a firm guarantee for maintaining the medium-high-speed growth of the national economy. Second, the implementation of innovation-driven strategy, the onset of the fourth industrial revolution and the readjustment of the industrial structure have provided tremendous impetus to China’s sustained economic growth. Third, the all-round reform focusing on the economic structure has been deepening and has provided a solid institutional guarantee for maintaining the rapid development of the national economy. Finally, scientific decision-making and macro-control provide a global guarantee for the rapid development of the national economy. While affirming favorable factors and grasping the basic situation, we should also face up to some new problems and new contradictions facing our economy. These contradictions are structural rather than aggregate in nature. They are relative surplus rather than absolute surplus. They are the material and cultural needs behind the initial backward stage of socialism and the people. Major Social Conflicts After the economic development has entered a new normal New stage performance. Resolve contradictions and maintain rapid growth in the national economy. In the long term, they rely on scientific and technological innovation, structural adjustment, short-term and long-term integration, and rely on investment and reform and opening up. In this process, we must stick to the people as the center and strive to improve people’s livelihood.