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本文通过对黄浦公园验潮站自1905年到1981年的37次显著的台风暴潮分析,得出这样的结论:引发和影响上海港台风暴潮的主要因素是台风路径、台风强度、台风登陆时的入射角和台风行速等等。运用天气学方法,从这些因素中选出最恶劣最严重的组合成模式台风,其中心位于浙江中北部海面,最低海平面气压为921毫巴,行速约30公里/时和登陆入射角约70度等等。根据模式台风所计算。出来的上海港在台风影响下可能最高潮位,与过去五百年的历史资料比较是可信的,因而是有可能出现的。
Based on 37 significant typhoon surges analyzed from 1905 to 1981 in Huangpu Park tide gauge station, this paper draws the conclusion that the main factors causing the typhoon surge in Shanghai Harbor are typhoon path, typhoon intensity, typhoon landing When the incident angle and typhoon speed and so on. Using the weather method, the typhoon was selected from these factors as the worst combination typhoon. Its center is located in the sea of central and northern Zhejiang Province. Its lowest sea level pressure is 921 mbar and travel speed is about 30 km / h. 70 degrees and so on. According to the model typhoon calculation. The possible culmination of the coming out of Shanghai Port under the influence of a typhoon is credible compared with the historical data of the past 500 years and is therefore likely to emerge.