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将因素分解方法运用于华东地区电力经济关系研究,分离出经济规模的增长、经济结构的变化和用电效率的变化等因素对用电量的影响,分析结果表明,1999年是华东地区电耗的拐点,电耗的变化主要由于工业重型化所致。根据发展经济学中对工业化早、中、晚期的阶段划分,报告对华东地区三类工业用电的强度效应、结构效应和产出效应进行了分解,华东地区工业结构和用电单耗的降低对华东地区工业用电增长具有重要影响。
The factor decomposition method is applied to the study of the relationship between power and economy in East China. The influence of the factors such as economic growth, changes in economic structure and changes in electricity efficiency is analyzed. The results show that in 1999 the power consumption in East China The inflection point, the change in power consumption is mainly due to industrial heavy-duty. According to the stages of industrialization in early, middle and late stages of industrialization, the report decomposes the intensity, structure and output effects of three types of industrial electricity in East China. The industrial structure and electricity consumption in East China are reduced It has an important impact on the growth of industrial electricity in East China.