论文部分内容阅读
基于Tapio脱钩模型对江西省经济增长与二氧化碳的脱钩关系进行定量分析,结果表明:江西省经济增长与碳排放存在不稳定的脱钩关系,要实现经济增长与碳排放的脱钩还有很长的路要走。链式因果分解结果显示,出现这一情况的主要原因是江西省能源碳强度脱钩不理想和工业产业占地区生产总值的比重过大。LMDI分解方法结果表明,能源强度效应和城市人均产出效应对实现碳排放的脱钩影响最为显著。
Based on the Tapio decoupling model, the decoupling relationship between economic growth and carbon dioxide in Jiangxi Province is quantitatively analyzed. The results show that there is an unstable decoupling relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions in Jiangxi Province, and there is still a long way to realize the decoupling between economic growth and carbon emissions To go. The results of the chain causal decomposition show that the main reason for this situation is that the decoupling of energy carbon intensity in Jiangxi Province is not ideal and the proportion of industrial industry in the GDP of the region is too large. The result of LMDI decomposition method shows that energy intensity effect and urban per capita output effect have the most significant impact on decoupling carbon emission.