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本文构建了中国经济增长的内生动因的理论分析模型,并从三大产业的视角出发,量化了中国经济增长中要素规模和要素结构的贡献。结果表明,1991~2012年,中国经济增长主要由资本规模推动,多数年份里,资本规模贡献超过70%,尤其是资本的规模扩张是中国经济增长的核心驱动因素,而要素结构作为经济增长驱动的作用未得到有效发挥。从三产的角度来看,各要素规模带动的经济增长变化趋势明显,而各要素结构带动的经济增长变化趋势复杂多样。
This paper constructs the theoretical analysis model of endogenous motivation of China’s economic growth and quantifies the contribution of factor size and factor structure in China’s economic growth from the perspective of the three major industries. The results show that from 1991 to 2012, China’s economic growth was mainly driven by the size of capital. In most years, the capital contribution of more than 70%, especially the expansion of capital was the core driver of China’s economic growth. However, the factor structure was driven by economic growth The role has not been effectively played. From the perspective of tertiary industry, the trend of economic growth driven by the scale of each factor is obvious, while the trend of economic growth driven by the various factor structures is complex and diverse.