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随着我国改革步伐的加快及国内经济建设的快速发展 ,我国利用外资工作取得了飞速的发展 ,外资的利用对促进我国经济持续、快速、健康的发展发挥了极其重要的作用 .进入 2 0世纪 90年代以来 ,随着我国利用外资的大幅增长 ,由于引资规模、引资结构不当等原因产生负面效应逐渐加大作用 ,它严重影响着我国国内的经济建设 .了解我国利用外资情况 ,对我国外资需求进行深入的研究 ,建立合理的外资需求模型 ,对我国引进外资的规模进行计划决策 ,充分发挥外资的正面效应是非常重要的 .本文利用协整与误差校正模型这一先进的计量工具对外资需求进行研究 ,得出我国外资需求的长期及短期模型 .研究结果表明 ,我国外资需求与国内生产总值、出口总额、进口总额和汇率等影响因素之间存在协整关系
With the acceleration of China’s reform and the rapid development of its domestic economic construction, China has made rapid progress in using foreign capital and the utilization of foreign capital has played an extremely important role in promoting the sustained, rapid and healthy development of our economy. Since the 1990s, with the substantial increase of foreign investment in our country, the negative effect of increasing the scale of foreign investment and the improper structure of attracting foreign investment has gradually taken a greater role. It has a serious impact on the economic development in our country. Understanding the use of foreign capital in our country, It is very important to conduct in-depth research, establish a reasonable demand model of foreign investment, plan and make decisions on the scale of foreign investment in our country and give full play to the positive effect of foreign investment.This paper uses co-integration and error correction models, an advanced measurement tool, And find out the long-term and short-term models of the demand for foreign investment in our country.The results show that there is a cointegration relationship between the demand of foreign capital and the influencing factors such as GDP, total export, total amount of imports and exchange rate