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表达为概率分布的专家意见的综合是许多决策过程的基本问题 ,也是在贝叶斯概率框架内难以处理的问题 .本文基于 Depster-Shafer证据理论研究了这类问题的一种处理方法 .首先提出了一个特别的证据推理模型及相应的推理算法 ,然后基于该模型描述了专家意见综合问题的建模和求解方法
The synthesis of expert opinions expressed as probability distributions is a basic problem of many decision-making processes and also a problem that is difficult to deal with within the framework of the Bayesian Probability.This paper studies a method to deal with such problems based on Depster-Shafer evidence theory. A special model of evidence reasoning and the corresponding reasoning algorithm, and then based on the model describes the synthesis of expert opinion modeling and solution method