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2014年中国经济发展开始步入进入新常态。随着国内、国际经济下行压力的增大,企业债务负担也在加重。本文在定量和定性分析基础上,介绍了我国债券市场违约情况,并对机构投资者如何进行债券违约预警提出相关建议。本文从2014年-2016年10月末中国债券市场的违约样本出发,通过归纳样本规律,提取定量指标并考量定性因素,于2016年11月初完成债券违约预警分析模型的初步构建,为机构投
In 2014, China’s economic development began to enter a new normal. With the domestic and international downward pressure on the economy, corporate debt burden is also aggravating. On the basis of quantitative and qualitative analysis, this article introduces the default situation of China’s bond market and puts forward some suggestions on how institutional investors can make early warning of default. Based on the sample of defaults in China’s bond market from 2014 to the end of October 2016, this paper, by summing up the sample law, extracting quantitative indicators and considering qualitative factors, completed the preliminary construction of the bond default analysis model in early November 2016,