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受去年末涨价因素影响,进入2005年全国粮价继续保持平稳。小麦价格基本稳定在去年末较高价位上。1～2月市场总体平淡,旺季不旺。3月后,随着粮食购销企业小麦出库量加大、农民销量增加及中央储备粮轮换展开,小麦市场呈现阶段性供过于求态势,价格明显下跌。目前,新产小麦即将收获,预计仍为丰收年景。综合产销、政策、市场等方面因素,现对今年国内小麦市场形势进行分析,供参考。
Influenced by the price hikes late last year, the grain price in China continued to remain stable in 2005. Wheat prices basically stable at the end of last year, higher prices. January to February the market generally flat, not busy season. After March, with the increase of grain deliveries by grain purchasing and marketing enterprises, the increase of farmers’ sales volume and the rotation of the central grain reserves, the wheat market showed a period of over-supply and the price dropped significantly. At present, the newly-harvested wheat is about to be harvested and is still expected to have a good harvest. Comprehensive production and marketing, policy, market and other factors, this year’s domestic wheat market situation for analysis, for reference.