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当前全球经济危机是全球失衡的待然结果,也将待然导致全球结构性变化,改变全球史发展走势,使人类整体进入新的暂时均衡发展阶段。从全球史无中心整体研究视角看,金融危机或经济危机在全球史上是周期现象,是全球失衡的结果或表征。所以,仅从经济角度分析无法真正理解作为表征的金融或经济危机的本源和作用。按照社会力学理论,全球失衡是全球整体内部各种力量相互作用的运动结果,主要表现为生态、文化、政治、经济和军事等激烈冲突或危机,其作用是重新调整失衡结构,确立新均衡。换言之,没有这些失衡和危机,人类社会就不能发展。本文仅从公元1000年以来区域失衡和全球失衡的原因及其导致的危机来理解无中心整体全球史发展的趋势及其意义。
The current global economic crisis is an unavoidable result of the global imbalance and will surely lead to global structural changes and changes in the development of the global history so that the whole of mankind will enter a new stage of temporary balanced development. From the perspective of a global history-less holistic research, the financial crisis or the economic crisis is a cyclical phenomenon in the global history and is the result or manifestation of global imbalances. Therefore, an economic analysis alone can not really understand the origin and the role of the financial or economic crisis as a token. According to the theory of social mechanics, global imbalances are the result of the inter-movement of various forces within the global community as a result of intense conflicts or crises such as ecology, culture, politics, economy and military. Its role is to readjust the imbalance structure and establish a new equilibrium. In other words, without these imbalances and crises, human society can not develop. In this paper, we only understand the trend and significance of the development of a global non-centered global history only from the causes of the regional imbalances and global imbalances since the year 1000 and the crises they cause.