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本文试就土耳其在欧亚能源大棋局中的作用和影响做初步探析。土耳其地跨欧亚大陆,是欧亚能源走廊的重要组成部分。作为油气相对稀缺的土耳其在对外政策尤其是对外经济合作中大打“能源牌”。作为欧亚能源中枢,土耳其既能获得本国所需的能源,亦能在地区和国际事务中发挥更大作用。土耳其能否在欧亚能源大棋局中发挥重要作用取决于参与欧亚大棋局的各种力量对比的变化、土耳其的入盟谈判进程以及土耳其国内政治、经济和对外政策的变化。
This paper tries to make a tentative analysis of the role and influence of Turkey in the Eurasian Energy Grand Chess Bureau. Turkey, across Eurasia, is an important part of the Eurasian energy corridor. Turkey, as a relatively scarce oil and gas, is playing a “energy card” in its foreign policy, especially in its foreign economic cooperation. As the Eurasian energy hub, Turkey can not only obtain the energy it needs domestically but also play a greater role in regional and international affairs. Whether Turkey can play an important role in Eurasia’s energy grand chess game depends on the changes in the various forces that participate in the Eurasian Grand Chess Board, the process of the accession negotiations in Turkey, and the changes in Turkey’s domestic politics, economy and foreign policy.