在国际社会不断呼吁贸易自由化的今天,技术性贸易壁垒成为了阻碍贸易的一项重要措施。一般的观点认为,技术性贸易壁垒给出口国带来的只是巨大的负效应,然而笔者以为,这只是一种短期的影响,而从中长期来说,如果处理得当,可能还会存在正的效应。文章分短期和中长期两个阶段,用理论和实证相结合的方法,分析和探讨了技术性贸易壁垒对出口国带来的贸易效应、社会福利效应和产业效应。 At a time when the international community is constantly calling for trade liberalization, technical barriers to trade have become an important measure to hinder trade. The general view is that technical barriers to trade bring only a huge negative effect to the exporting country. However, in my opinion, this is only a short-term impact. In the medium and long term, positive effects may still exist if handled properly. In the short and medium-long term, the article analyzes and discusses the trade effects, social welfare effects and industrial effects brought by TBT on exporting countries through a combination of theoretical and empirical methods.