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本文重点研究了金融危机以来全球跨国直接投资的主要特征:全球FDI增速呈现波浪式曲折前行的总体态势,服务全球化的深化发展促使全球FDI持续流向服务业,全球制造业FDI呈现出传统制造业和新兴制造业投资双轮驱动态势,全球FDI经济体力量对比呈现“东升西降”态势,跨境并购作为全球FDI的主要方式高速增长。“十三五”时期全球跨国直接投资的总体趋势主要表现为:新一轮全球跨国直接投资将由发达经济体和发展中经济体双轮驱动。区域投资流向将呈现出亚洲持续增长、非洲潜力释放,欧美地区趋于平缓增长的局面,产业投资流向将呈现出全球新技术革命和产业革命推动FDI加速流向新兴产业和服务业趋势,投资政策变化将呈现出投资自由化改革加速与区域投资保护主义并存趋势。
This article focuses on the main characteristics of global transnational direct investment since the financial crisis: the global FDI growth presents a wave-shaped trend, the deepening development of service globalization has led to the continuous flow of global FDI to service industries, and the global manufacturing FDI shows a tradition Manufacturing and emerging manufacturing investment double-wheel drive situation, the global FDI economy showed a “contrast between the power” and “cross-border economic growth,” cross-border mergers and acquisitions as the main way of global FDI rapid growth. The overall trend of global transnational direct investment in the period of the 13th Five-Year Plan is mainly as follows: The new round of global cross-border direct investment will be driven by the two systems of advanced economies and developing economies. Regional investment flows will show continued growth in Asia, the potential for the release of Africa, Europe and the United States tends to moderate growth, industrial investment flows will show the global new technological revolution and industrial revolution to promote FDI to accelerate the flow of new industries and service industries, investment policy changes Will show the accelerated liberalization of investment liberalization and the trend of regional investment protectionism.