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文章应用中国31个省市地区2006~2012年间的可再生能源政策实施情况和产业发展数据,以基于实施时间和激励强度差异的区域政策解构为手段,对中国可再生能源政策有效性进行定量评价。研究表明,中国各区域可再生能源政策存在着显著差异,这种差异主要来源于各地可再生能源禀赋、经济发展水平和环境保护因素的影响;在可再生能源政策有效性方面,费用分摊和标杆上网电价对可再生能源发电具有显著影响,其中费用分摊是目前促进可再生能源发展的最有效措施,且这一结果随时间变化显著。文章最后基于研究结论,从精细化与长效化两个方面提出了未来政策改进的意见。
Based on the implementation of renewable energy policy and industrial development data from 31 provinces in China in 2006 ~ 2012, the paper evaluates the effectiveness of China’s renewable energy policy by using the deconstruction of regional policy based on the difference of implementation time and incentive intensity . The research shows that there are significant differences in renewable energy policies among various regions in China. Such differences mainly come from renewable energy endowments, economic development levels and environmental protection factors in different regions. In terms of the effectiveness of renewable energy policies, cost-sharing and benchmarking Feed-in tariffs have a significant impact on renewable energy generation, of which cost-sharing is currently the most effective measure to promote the development of renewable energy and this result has changed significantly over time. At the end of the article, based on the conclusion of the research, this paper puts forward the opinion of future policy improvement from the aspects of refinement and long-term effectiveness.