汶川地震灾后人口与居民点空间配置的适宜性评价

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The suitability evaluation of population and settlements spatial layout in the moun-tainous areas is an important basis on which the scale of population and settlement after Wenchuan Earthquake is determined. Based on the statistical data of field research, this paper chooses 1264 towns in 51 counties as the scope of evaluation, selects eight indices in the evaluation index system which includes post-disaster population scale, population density,urbanization rate, the percentage of migrant workers, death rate by earthquake, the per-centage of minorities, elevation-slope integrated terrain and comprehensive geological con-dition. Besides, this paper uses AHP supported by entropy technique and fuzzy membership function model to calculate the suitability evaluation index and then divides the disaster areas into five types:highly suitable area(area accounted for 11.03%), relatively highly suitable area(15.29%), moderately suitable area(29%), less suitable area(30.08%)and unsuitable area(14.6%). According to the result of suitability evaluation, this paper puts forward several suggestions for the reconstruction as follows:the urban system and the building of new countryside should be guided by the suitability evaluation subareas; post-earthquake recon-struction avoids zones near Longmenshan fracture and high-mountain gorge areas as far as possible; the scale of population and settlement should not exceed the capacity of resources and environment; population should be resettled as close as possible by considering ade-quately the heterogenicity and homogeneity of regional nationality culture characteristics;densely resettle the people at plains and hilly areas; encourage the migrant workers settle in the working place with their families voluntarily; and urban system reconstruction such as industry layout and important projects of lifeline should be guided by the spatial layout suit-ability evaluation.
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