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1 我国人口老龄化的特点1.1 老龄化速度快、人口多 人口老龄化是人类社会文明进步的必然趋势。从2020年到2040年,由于我国出生于五六十年代计划生育高峰人口渐至老年,我国老龄人口将以3.02％快于人口增长的速度增长,进入人口老龄化的高峰阶段。预计到2020年我国老年人口将达2.31亿,到2025年将达到2.48亿以上,占人口比重的20％,近似于届时发达国家老年人口的总和,到2030年将达到21.5％。在法国,老龄人口翻一番,从7％～17％,经过了115年(1865～1980年),而据预测我国的老龄人口翻一番只须27年(2000～2027),甚至可能增长4倍。因此,21世纪初我国人口老龄化速度是世界上速度最快的国家之一,老龄人口的绝对数将位居世界第一。
1 Characteristics of China’s aging population 1.1 Rapid aging, large population Population aging is an inevitable trend of human social progress. From 2020 to 2040, as China’s birth-planning population peaked in the 1950s and 1960s, the elderly population in China will grow at a rate of 3.02% faster than population growth and enter the peak stage of population aging. It is estimated that by 2020, the number of elderly people in China will reach 231 million, and by 2025 it will reach 248 million or more, accounting for 20% of the population, similar to the total number of elderly people in developed countries by that time and will reach 21.5% by 2030. In France, the ageing population has doubled, from 7% to 17%, after 115 years (1865-1980), and it is predicted that the aging of our country’s old population will only need to be 27 years (2000-2027). It may even increase. 4 times. Therefore, at the beginning of the 21st century, China’s population aging rate is one of the fastest in the world, and the absolute number of elderly people will be ranked first in the world.