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林农是我国林业经营的主体,其碳汇林经营受偿意愿关系到我国林业碳汇的供给问题。文章以浙江省温州市的林农为调查对象,引入计划行为理论,通过构建Cox比例风险模型,分析林农的碳汇林经营受偿意愿及影响因素。结果表明,是否认为林业碳汇具有减排优势、造林年限和是否享受过碳汇造林补贴3个变量对林农碳汇林经营受偿意愿有显著正向影响,林农的年龄和是否能理解林业碳汇概念2个变量对林农碳汇林经营受偿意愿有显著负向影响。同时利用非参数估计技术,得出林农碳汇林经营的平均期望受偿额度为72.34元/t·co_2。最后,针对研究结果提出了相关政策建议。
Forest farmers are the main body of China’s forestry management. The willingness of their compensation for carbon sink forests is related to the supply of forestry carbon sinks in China. In this paper, the forest farmers in Wenzhou City of Zhejiang Province as the survey object, the introduction of the theory of planned behavior, through the construction of Cox proportional hazards model, analysis of forest farmers willingness to pay carbon sink forest business and its influencing factors. The results showed that whether the forestry carbon sinks have the advantage of reducing emissions, the years of afforestation and the afforestation subsidies for carbon sequestration have significant positive impacts on the willingness of forestry carbon sequestration forest management, the age of forest farmers and whether they can understand the impacts of forestry carbon The two concepts of sink concept have a significant negative impact on the willingness of forestry carbon sink forest management. At the same time, using the non-parametric estimation technique, the average expected compensation amount of forest carbon sink forest operation is 72.34 yuan / t · co_2. Finally, the relevant policy suggestions are put forward according to the research results.