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大多数文献认为生产性服务业①发展与经济增长之间存在线性关系。本文考察了生产性服务业发展与经济增长之间的非线性关系。首先分析了生产性服务业发展影响经济增长的路径,然后运用2004-2011年中国20个省市面板数据进行门限回归,结果表明:生产性服务业发展与经济增长具有非线性关系,呈倒U型,当政府规模跨越较高门限值时,生产性服务业发展对经济增长的促进作用降低。
Most of the literature consider that there is a linear relationship between the development of producer services and economic growth. This article examines the non-linear relationship between the development of producer services and economic growth. First of all, it analyzes the path of the development of producer services affecting economic growth, and then uses the panel data of 20 provinces and cities in China from 2004 to 2011 to carry out the threshold regression. The results show that there is a nonlinear relationship between the development of producer services and economic growth, Type, when the government scale across higher thresholds, the development of producer services to promote the role of economic growth to reduce.