论文部分内容阅读
湖北省作为我国首批开展碳排放权交易试点工作的7个省市之一,将肩负起我国中部地区的低碳示范的任务和责任。对碳排放总量目标进行预测是建立碳排放权交易体系的基础工作,是确定配额的前提条件。以2007年湖北省投入产出表为基础,运用以投入产出模型为基础的混合能源经济模型,对2013—2020年期间湖北省在不同经济发展速度和低碳技术发展模式下的能源消费总量、能源强度以及由能源消费引起的CO2排放总量和由水泥生产引起的CO2排放总量等进行了预测,以此作为湖北省碳排放权交易体系总量目标设置的参考依据,并为湖北省低碳发展提出政策建议。
Hubei Province, as one of the first seven provinces and municipalities to carry out pilot projects for carbon emissions trading in China, will shoulder the tasks and responsibilities of low-carbon demonstration in central China. Predict the total amount of carbon emissions is to establish the basic work of the carbon emissions trading system is a prerequisite for determining quotas. Based on the input-output table of Hubei Province in 2007 and using the mixed energy economic model based on the input-output model, this paper analyzes the total energy consumption of Hubei Province under the different economic development speed and low-carbon technology development mode during 2013-2020 Amount of energy, energy intensity and the total amount of CO2 emissions caused by energy consumption and the total amount of CO2 emissions caused by cement production were predicted as a reference basis for setting the target of the total amount of carbon emissions trading system in Hubei Province, Hubei Province Provincial low-carbon development policy recommendations.