本文在对数据的整理分析中采用了一般计量分析方法,选取了城镇居民人均可支配收入和前期人均消费作为解释变量,对线性回归的解释变量都进行了拟合和验证,最终得到一个关于预测北京市人均消费的计量模型。利用该模型,可以较好的实现对当期人均消费的预测,具有一定的使用价值。 In this paper, a general measurement and analysis method is adopted in the data analysis and consolidation. The per capita disposable income of urban residents and per capita consumption in the previous period are selected as explanatory variables, and the explanatory variables of linear regression are fitted and verified. Finally, Beijing’s per capita consumption of the measurement model. Using this model, we can better predict the current per capita consumption, which has a certain value of use.