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近年来,我国政府明确提出了有效启动农村消费需求以拉动国民经济增长的战略目标。本文在分析农村居民消费对中国经济增长作用的基础上,结合1985—2009年的经验数据,构建反映我国农村居民消费与经济增长之间互动关系的VAR模型,并运用脉冲响应、方差分解进一步考察了两者之间的互动关系,最后据此提出相关政策建议。
In recent years, our government has clearly put forward the strategic goal of effectively stimulating the rural consumer demand in order to boost the growth of the national economy. Based on the analysis of the effect of rural resident consumption on China’s economic growth and based on the empirical data from 1985 to 2009, this paper builds a VAR model that reflects the interaction between rural resident consumption and economic growth in our country and further investigates the impact of rural consumption on economic growth by using impulse response and variance decomposition The interaction between the two, and finally the relevant policy recommendations accordingly.